No, it isn’t yet April 1. See here. You gotta love the bit about this all being a “long post-mini-ice-age warming”. But still, I admire his (partial) intellectual honesty. Well, maybe that is overly generous since there never actually was a “break” in the warming.
The post includes this figure (from here):
A few things are worth noting:
1) Even accepting the faulty logic of a short-term lack of change in the global temperature measurements being a “break in the warming”, looking at the graphic above, it doesn’t look like a decade-long break to me. As even Bolt admits, 98 was really warm due to a strong El Nino. The only recent cool period, is 2008.
2) I also noted that the figure helpfully labels excessively warming periods driven by a volcanic eruption and EL Nino, but fails to point out that the cooling in 2008 was caused by a strong La Nina. Hence Hermits question (see below).
3) Finally, this exercise of tracking monthly temperatures is silly and unscientific. I am ashamed to have partaken. It is like following daily polls in a election race. I need to be more rationale about all this!
As usual, the comments on Bolt’s blog are telling:
How can El Nino be a warming event? My understanding of El Nino is that it is the re-distribution of head from one part of the globe to another. Surely the net effect of El Nino should be zero globally!
I’ve always thought it was a grave tactical error for AGW skeptics to continually point to an apparent arrest in the temperature’s upwards trend. It is always going to fluctuate up and down into the future. Climate has always changed and will continue to do so. This sort of data will be used by alarmists to shout “we wuz right all along yah yah”.
Sketics would be better advised to continue to chip away at the total lack of evidence that is it is increased CO2 in the atmosphere that is causing climate to change.
So what ,they cant change it ,and warm is way better than cold ,take a look at the march figures ,looks like its down again.
Very interesting. The question which comes to mind is why is the pattern so erratic.
Is there something inherently random in what the satellites are measuring? Are the satellites measuring the same part of the atmosphere each time?
If a known el nino and the mt pinataubo eruption produced displacements from the norm, then what has happening on the globe in the last year and a bit?
Hermit of Hermit Park
Sat 06 Mar 10 (08:23am)
Anybody want to tackle some of these? Maybe someone with nothing better to do this weekend? I love the ones about El Nino and the measured variability.
It is also telling that, so far, not one of the Boltites has questioned the new position their leader has handed down to the clan. Where are the free thinkers and radicals in this rebellion!
I am proven wrong; several clan members are rebelling and blaming it all on El Nino. (see Bolts updates)
See this comment from Marrcus of Perth:
How can it be warming with record amounts of snow and ice? Something odd is going on here. Has there been tampering with the data? Just wondering. It doesn’t add up.
I thought the the US, Canada, and Europe just had their coldest winters in 30 years. Maybe temperature measuring devices were not working because they were frozen. Has this data been fudged?
Mike of Charters Towers (Reply)
Sat 06 Mar 10 (09:34am)
The Earth is doing what it normally does, we have had years of no change, then we have had years of a slight cooling, now we are seeing a bit of warming. It’s all natural.
LH of Brisbane (Reply)
Sat 06 Mar 10 (09:34am)